Transport Services
TCI Express Limited provides express delivery solutions in India and internationally. It provides surface express; domestic and international air express; reverse express; e-commerce express; C2C express; rail express; and cold chain express services. The company serves automobile, pharma cold chain, medical equipment, manufacturing, aerospace and defense, agri-tech, consumer durables, textile and garments, and engineering goods sectors. The company was formerly known as TCI Properties (Pune) Limited. TCI Express Limited was founded in 1996 and is based in Gurugram, India.
Summary of TCI Express's latest earnings call, featuring management's outlook on business performance, financial results, and analyst Q&A sessions that highlight key strategic initiatives and market challenges.
Last updated: Feb 25
Management Outlook and Major Points:
Outlook:
TCI Express remains cautiously optimistic, anticipating economic recovery driven by government infrastructure investments, fiscal measures, and manufacturing growth. Key initiatives like the Union Budget's PM Gati Shakti integration (optimizing routes, reducing costs), air cargo infrastructure upgrades, and social schemes for gig workers are expected to boost efficiency and service quality. Management projects a gradual recovery in volumes, targeting double-digit growth (~10-12%) in FY26, supported by diversification into multimodal services (aiming 20-22% revenue share in 2-3 years) and focus on corporate clients.
Major Points:
Risks: SME sector recovery, global economic headwinds, and competitive pricing dynamics remain key watchpoints.
Last updated: Feb 25
What has been the volume growth for this quarter?
Volume declined by 3% in Q3 FY25, attributed to reduced SME activity, muted manufacturing demand, and lower festive-season freight movement.
How are Q4 and margins expected to shape up amid persistent challenges?
Q4 volumes remain uncertain due to ongoing macroeconomic pressures, though partial price hikes (1% target) and cost management may stabilize margins. Margins face pressure from elevated toll, labor, and air freight costs, but gradual recovery is anticipated post-volume normalization.
Have competitors implemented price hikes, and why hasn't TCI followed?
Competitors' price hikes reflect inflationary adjustments rather than volume growth. TCI prioritized SME support during their downturn, delaying aggressive hikes for large clients until Q4. SME pricing flexibility remains constrained.
Is the 1.5x GDP growth target for logistics still viable?
The 1.5x GDP target holds long-term, but FY25 is an exception due to manufacturing slowdown and service-sector-driven GDP. Recovery is expected post-FY25 as manufacturing regains momentum.
What were January's volume trends, and what price hikes were implemented?
January saw volume improvement, but sustainability depends on March performance. Price hikes targeted large customers (~1% overall impact), with SME hikes deferred due to their financial strain.
Why invest $7.5M in Singapore amid domestic Capex cuts?
The Singapore subsidiary focuses on global freight forwarding to complement Indian operations, funded incrementally (10"“15% annual cash flow). Domestic Capex (sorting centers, automation) remains prioritized, with no overlap in funding.
Are you shifting focus to corporate clients over SMEs?
Temporarily prioritizing corporate clients to offset SME volume declines and improve truck utilization. SME focus will resume post-recovery to maintain a 50-50 revenue mix.
Why hesitate to pass cost inflation to SMEs?
SMEs, facing high borrowing costs and weak demand, are granted pricing relief to preserve long-term relationships. Cost inflation (200 bps) is manageable, with margin recovery tied to volume normalization.
What is the FY26"“27 branch expansion plan?
50"“75 branches in FY26 and 75"“100 in FY27, focusing on SME and Multimodal Logistics support. Expansion aligns with volume recovery and automation rollouts (Ahmedabad/Kolkata hubs by FY27).
What is Rail Express's contribution and differentiation?
Rail Express (17"“18% of revenue) offers 2"“3-day delivery at 25% of air freight costs, serving time-sensitive B2B sectors. It complements Surface Express without cannibalization, targeting niche demand.
How will Dedicated Freight Corridors (DFCs) impact Surface business?
DFCs focus on bulk/commodity transport, not door-to-door express logistics. TCI may adopt rail for mid-mile if service efficiency improves, but Surface Express remains core for last-mile delivery.
What sectors drive volume weakness, and when will normalization occur?
Lifestyle, engineering, and electronics sectors lag due to muted demand. Normalization is expected post-FY25, aided by potential rate cuts, inflation easing, and post-election economic momentum.
What is Multimodal's revenue target and margin outlook?
Multimodal (Air/Rail) aims for 22% revenue share in 3 years, with margins slightly above corporate-focused Surface Express. Growth will stem from rail's cost advantage and air's premium service.
How has automation impacted costs?
Automated sorting centers (Gurgaon/Pune) cut processing time and costs by 30"“50 bps. Ahmedabad/Kolkata automation (FY27) will extend efficiency gains, supporting margin recovery.
What is the international expansion strategy?
Singapore subsidiary will facilitate global freight forwarding, leveraging existing agent networks. No near-term revenue targets, but the focus is on inbound/outbound synergies with Indian operations.
Profitability: Recent profitability of 8% is a good sign.
Buy Backs: Company has bought back it's stock in the past which is a good thing.
Balance Sheet: Strong Balance Sheet.
Smart Money: Smart money looks to be reducing their stake in the stock.
Growth: Poor revenue growth. Revenue grew at a disappointing -3.3% on a trailing 12-month basis.
Understand TCI Express ownership landscape with insights into key distribution patterns, offering investors a clear view of stakeholder dynamics.
Shareholder Name | Holding % |
---|---|
TCI EXPRESS CONSOLIDATED LIMITED | 44.45% |
TCI TRADING (DHARMPAL AGARWAL) | 6.48% |
VINEET AGARWAL | 5.23% |
HDFC Large and Mid Multi Cap Fund | 4.39% |
DHARAM PAL AGARWAL (HUF) | 2.66% |
URMILA AGARWAL | 2.41% |
CHANDER AGARWAL | 2.39% |
Nippon Life India Trustee Ltd A/Cn Nippon India Multi Cap fund | 2.37% |
PRIYANKA AGARWAL | 2.27% |
Canara Robeco Mutual Fund A/C nCanara Robeco Emerging Equities | 1.52% |
INVESTOR EDUCATION PROTECTION nFUND AUTHORITY | 1.4% |
NIRMAL MISHRILAL BANG HUF | 1.13% |
DHARMPAL AGARWAL | 1.09% |
CHANDRIMA AGARWAL | 0.97% |
VIHAAN AGARWAL | 0.58% |
NAV AGARWAL | 0.58% |
TCI EXIM PRIVATE LIMITED | 0.41% |
ESOP or ESOS or ESPS | 0.09% |
VINEET AND SONS (HUF) | 0.03% |
CHANDER AND SONS (HUF) | 0% |
Distribution across major stakeholders
Distribution across major institutional holders
Detailed comparison of TCI Express against industry peers, highlighting key financial metrics, valuation ratios, and performance indicators to provide competitive context within the sector.
Ticker | Name | Mkt Cap | Revenue | Price %, 1M | Returns, 1Y | P/E | P/S | Rev 1-Yr | Inc 1-Yr |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BLUEDART | Blue Dart ExpressLogistics Solution Provider | 15.4 kCr | 5.67 kCr | +5.77% | +2.72% | 55.99 | 2.72 | +8.76% | -6.02% |
TCI | Transport Corp of IndiaLogistics Solution Provider | 8.48 kCr | 4.44 kCr | +0.45% | +26.25% | 20.98 | 1.91 | +11.87% | +21.19% |
ALLCARGO | Allcargo LogisticsLogistics Solution Provider | 2.93 kCr | 15.67 kCr | +4.27% | -59.73% | 73.52 | 0.19 | +18.14% | -80.50% |
Investor Care | |
---|---|
Dividend Yield | 1.58% |
Dividend/Share (TTM) | 11 |
Shares Dilution (1Y) | 0.12% |
Diluted EPS (TTM) | 25.46 |
Financial Health | |
---|---|
Current Ratio | 3.56 |
Debt/Equity | 0 |
Debt/Cashflow | 146.26 |
Valuation | |
---|---|
Market Cap | 2.67 kCr |
Price/Earnings (Trailing) | 26.58 |
Price/Sales (Trailing) | 2.17 |
EV/EBITDA | 17.23 |
Price/Free Cashflow | 39.7 |
MarketCap/EBT | 20.05 |
Fundamentals | |
---|---|
Revenue (TTM) | 1.23 kCr |
Rev. Growth (Yr) | -4.71% |
Rev. Growth (Qtr) | -4.77% |
Earnings (TTM) | 100.31 Cr |
Earnings Growth (Yr) | -35.76% |
Earnings Growth (Qtr) | -17.05% |
Profitability | |
---|---|
Operating Margin | 10.78% |
EBT Margin | 10.83% |
Return on Equity | 13.42% |
Return on Assets | 11.39% |
Free Cashflow Yield | 2.52% |